Smart Money Friday Bonus Update – Dismal Employment Data Rallies Stocks, Plus and Out of Favor Stock Option Recommendation.
NFP data is likely to justify a 25 basis cut from the Fed next week.
Confused traders threw shook their heads this morning, but the stock market breathed a sigh of relief much lower than expected NFP number seems to have put a lid on bond yields for now. In today’s update, I am adding a new option trade on a stock which has been beaten up lately but has not broken down.
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Market Update
Stocks are rebounding this morning as weak NFP numbers give the Fed room to ease rates further. The all important New York Stock Exchange Advance Decline line (NYAD) found support at its 50-day moving average, keeping the intermediate term uptrend intact.
The U.S. Ten Year Note yield (TNX) is struggling to rise above 4.3%, which is a short term positive for now. This looks like a consolidation pattern for now with the 200-day moving average providing support. The RSI remains overbought, reading above 70, which is likely to cap the advance in yields for now.
Meanwhile Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains within reach of a major breakout with the $73,000 area proving to be a short term challenge. On the bullish side, there is good support all the way to $60,000 with three large VBP bars looming in the area along with the 20,50, and 200 day moving averages. That combination of indicators in that trading range means that a decisive break below $60,000 would likely signal a major exodus from the asset.
Friday Update
In today’s issue, I am updating my recent Bitcoin recommendations, and the rest of the ESP portfolio while adding a new option play on a stock which nobody seems to want which is attracting some stealth money.
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